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Bob's Journal

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Bob’s Journal

August 30, 2018

There has been quite a divergence between U.S. stock indexes and international indexes. Leading up to the correction in early 2016, U.S. stocks were far ahead of stocks from most other countries. After the correction, overseas stocks surged ahead of their U.S. counterparts. Latin American stocks were particularly strong. In the first part of 2017, […]

Bob’s Journal

August 23, 2018

Three key factors are causing small company stocks to outperform larger company stocks in U.S. markets. Large company stocks led the way through the early stages of this bull market, but smaller company stocks surged ahead more recently. As proof, the S&P 500 gained 8.21% for the year to date, while the small company index […]

Bob’s Journal

August 16, 2018

Earnings season for the second quarter is over, so you should be ready for stock prices to decline. I know that sounds counterintuitive, since the economy is strong, and growth might be increasing. This earnings season was a positive one with about two-thirds of companies reporting results exceeding estimates for earnings and revenue. Also, more […]

Bob’s Journal

August 9, 2018

Investors in index funds might want to consider moving to funds that equally weight each stock. The major stock indexes are capitalization-weighted, or cap-weighted. That means each stock’s weight in the index is determined by its market capitalization, which is the value of its outstanding shares of stock. The greater the fund’s capitalization, the larger […]

Bob’s Journal

August 2, 2018

Stocks might be beginning one of their periodic rotations. We could be seeing a shift from recent winners to recent losers. Another way to view the change is as a shift from growth stocks to value stocks. For some time, a few sectors outperformed the market indexes, and a few of the stocks in those […]

Inflation and Cost Pressures under Control

July 26, 2018

Many people are worried about a jump in inflation, but I expect the forces that are currently constraining price increases to continue to do so. Recently, pressures for higher inflation have been fairly strong. Most inflation measures finally reached or topped the Federal Reserve’s target of 2% over 12 months. Businesses are reporting cost pressures […]

Bob’s Journal

July 19, 2018

The biggest threat to the economy and markets right now could be a sleeper factor. For some time, I’ve said the biggest threat is that the Federal Reserve might tighten too much and trigger a recession. Because of the extraordinary monetary policy engaged in since 2008, the central bank doesn’t have a lot of tools […]

Bob’s Journal

July 5, 2018

I hope each of you had an excellent July 4 holiday. In this holiday-shortened week, let’s diverge from our usual Bob’s Journal entry. This week let’s take a look at a crime that has touched or scared almost everyone: identity theft and cybercrime. I share the insights from a published interview with Frank Abagnale, author […]

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