Bob Carlson offers his expert opinion on where to invest your money so that you can get through retirement safely and securely
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We’re going to have a volatile year. Many changes and new issues are likely during 2025. That’s why, in the year’s first Retirement Watch Spotlight Series, I review the actions and strategies you should be considering and putting in place for the year. First, I review some key trends and underlying issues that began in […]
How much of the good news and higher expectations are already priced into asset prices? November’s election results surprised both political and economic analysts. Investors quickly became more optimistic and repriced assets. Bitcoin had the biggest move. On Nov. 3, its closing price was $67,811. On Dec. 5, it closed above $100,000 for the first […]
Fed officials say they want to bring rates down to normal or neutral levels as soon as they can, but events might be working against them. The Federal Reserve finally began reducing interest rates in September, several years after most investors thought they would. But how long will it be before the Fed has to […]
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A lot changed after the Con- sumer Price Index (CPI) began sliding last spring, and those changes helped our portfolios. Since the June CPI data was re- leased, the equal-weighted S&P 500 Index and smaller company stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 In- dex, growth stocks and large compa- ny stocks. That’s a sharp reversal […]
Tighter monetary policy and higher interest rates finally had their intended effects, slowing growth and reducing inflation. The question now is whether the Federal Reserve waited too long to reverse policies. While most analysts focus on Fed policies, productivity and an expanding labor force are the unsung heroes of the last couple of years. They […]
The Federal Reserve, now worried about slow economic growth, shifted its focus from inflation to the labor market. The unique feature of the current economic cycle is growth wasn’t fueled by private sector borrowing. Instead, government borrowing and spending powered the economy. That’s why the rapid increase in interest rates beginning in 2022 didn’t trigger […]
Recent economic data and policy changes caused investors to doubt the durability of economic growth and reposition their portfolios. Stock indexes tumbled while bonds rose in late July and early August. One trigger was the Employment Situation reports for July. The unemployment rate rose. The number of new jobs created was well below both expectations […]
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