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The markets across the board have had corrections. The first quarter of 2005 was the worst quarter in two years for the S&P 500. Investors’ problems for the quarter did not end with the big company stocks that make up that index. My database of mutual funds and exchange-traded funds showed negative returns in March […]

Stocks packed a substantial correction into the first two weeks of January. Most indexes and sectors absorbed significant declines both in absolute terms and when compared to their 2004 gains. The S&P 500 gave up 25% of its 2004 gains in the following two weeks. The transportation index saw 17% of its substantial 2004 returns […]

Have you earned 0% or even lost money on your investments over the last five years? Most investors aren’t as fortunate as we have been. The major stock indexes are about where they were five years ago. Anyone who follows the conventional buy-and-hold index investing strategy has no net gains or modest losses to show […]

Fear stalks the markets these days. The last few months we gradually added protection against such a surge in investor pessimism. Those moves served our portfolios well in the recent downturn and will help if things get worse. Don’t try to forecast whether this is a correction or a new bear market. It is a […]

Value and caution pay richer rewards than do growth and excitement. Market action of the last few years contains some great examples of this lesson. The bear market began in March 2000 and bottomed in October 2002. The market indexes have had a strong run since the bottom, with the Nasdaq returning over 50% and […]

Cutting the cost of investing is more important than it has been in years. Expenses didn’t matter much when the stock market returned over 20% annually and bonds yielded over 8%. In the next 10 years, however, I expect bonds won’t return more than their current yields, and the annual average return from stocks will […]

Getting a little older requires a few changes in behavior. I’ve long known the importance of warming up before vigorous exercise. In the last few years I’ve learned my muscles also don’t like to be thrown right into yard work. They like a gradual introduction. If I forget that lesson, they’ll spend the next day […]

The mistake most investors make is to try to predict the future and then set their portfolios to capitalize on that prediction. Unfortunately, the financial world is not predictable, even in relatively normal times. It is even less predictable when economic calculations must be meshed with considerations of war, terrorism, and the after-effects of the […]
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