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Bob's Journal

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January 2008

January 1, 2008

January 22, 2008 02:10 p.m.The Big Sell Off It seems I caused a substantial decline in world stock markets. Last week I posted the February 2008 issue of Retirement Watch in which I argued that today’s market environment is more like 2001 or early 2002, with more losses to come, than it was like late […]

December 2007

December 1, 2007

December 17, 2007 3:05 p.m. The Specter of Inflation Rises Friday’s inflation report brought to the forefront something we warned about for some time: The threat of rising inflation is not dead. We are not living in the disinflationary and potentially deflationary era of the 1990s. Global growth and easy money policies around the world […]

November 2007

November 1, 2007

November 27, 2007 01:25 p.m. Some Portfolio Changes The markets and headlines have been rolling like the ocean surf before a major storm. Try to adjust your portfolio based on the latest sentiment and you will be changing the portfolio every few days. We focus on longer-term trends than the latest headlines, and those trends […]

October 2007

October 1, 2007

October 23, 2007 02:25 a.m. Global Boom or Global Bust? Just as investors were developing unbridled optimism about stocks, corporate executives pulled them up short. A spate of earnings reports last week dimmed investor enthusiasm and caused stock prices to tumble. The Nasdaq fell 2.6%, as did the S&P 500 and Dow. Small stocks represented […]

September 2007

September 1, 2007

September 21, 2007 1:45 p.m. Today’s Confusing Markets Already Explained Investors and analysts have been confused by many of the market developments of the last couple of years. They are easily explained, and the explanations are in my recent book, Invest Like a Fox…Not Like a Hedgehog. Conventional economic theory misses a few critical elements […]

August 2007

August 1, 2007

August 27, 2007 11:00 a.m. When Will We Know It is Over? Investment markets had a good week and seem to be returning to what was normal a couple of months ago. Is the worst of the financial crisis over? What are the signs that it might be over? Last week things looked almost dire […]

July 2007

July 1, 2007

July 30, 2007 12:20 p.m. Random Notes About the Sell Off Here are a few thoughts and bits of information regarding last week’s big decline in the markets. Markets always can be affected by outside factors, known as exogenous factors. Last week, stocks were affected by a change of sentiment or outlook among bond and […]

June 2007

June 1, 2007

June 25, 2007 12:00 p.m. Will Congress Stop This Market? Last week I asked what can stop this bull market. There are only a few things that derail a stock market rally. The current bull run has been in place since March 2003 without a correction approaching 10%. The small correction in 2006 bottomed about […]

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